Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.004493 0.005060 0.005703 0.006491 0.007443 0.008566 0.010011
2026-02-08 0.003585 0.004262 0.005094 0.006211 0.007707 0.009694 0.012634
2026-02-15 0.003194 0.003944 0.004918 0.006316 0.008346 0.011320 0.016303
2026-02-22 0.002845 0.003607 0.004637 0.006189 0.008588 0.012389 0.019465
2026-03-01 0.002559 0.003310 0.004358 0.006000 0.008668 0.013185 0.022432
2026-03-08 0.002344 0.003085 0.004146 0.005867 0.008795 0.014069 0.025915
2026-03-15 0.002239 0.003003 0.004130 0.006030 0.009437 0.016045 0.032748
2026-03-22 0.002165 0.002956 0.004158 0.006262 0.010243 0.018596 0.042710
2026-03-29 0.002108 0.002929 0.004211 0.006541 0.011196 0.021807 0.057458
2026-04-05 0.001990 0.002796 0.004078 0.006466 0.011415 0.023374 0.068416
2026-04-12 0.001886 0.002677 0.003955 0.006391 0.011619 0.024984 0.081600
2026-04-19 0.001775 0.002538 0.003787 0.006211 0.011554 0.025842 0.092700
2026-04-26 0.001650 0.002376 0.003577 0.005944 0.011294 0.026222 0.103302
2026-05-03 0.001538 0.002229 0.003385 0.005696 0.011046 0.026604 0.115505
2026-05-10 0.001489 0.002182 0.003362 0.005789 0.011653 0.030088 0.159614
2026-05-17 0.001415 0.002088 0.003249 0.005677 0.011714 0.031726 0.195820
2026-05-24 0.001340 0.001988 0.003117 0.005509 0.011592 0.032643 0.230182
2026-05-31 0.001278 0.001907 0.003013 0.005392 0.011589 0.034077 0.281899
2026-06-07 0.001253 0.001889 0.003026 0.005536 0.012365 0.039441 0.458853
2026-06-14 0.001237 0.001885 0.003065 0.005741 0.013389 0.047015 0.897470
2026-06-21 0.001225 0.001888 0.003117 0.005988 0.014631 0.057373 2.356675
2026-06-28 0.001181 0.001830 0.003044 0.005922 0.014812 0.061579 4.385237
2026-07-05 0.001141 0.001776 0.002975 0.005856 0.014984 0.066045 9.780569